Gervonta Davis vs. Leo Santa Cruz: Fight prediction, card, odds, preview, how to

The biggest piece of intrigue surrounding Saturday’s pay-per-view bout in San Antonio between unbeaten Gervonta “Tank” Davis and four-division champion Leo Santa Cruz — and the result that could have the most bearing upon on how experts handicap the 130-pound bout — remains whether Davis will comfortably make weight. 

Davis (23-0, 22 KOs), the power-punching southpaw who will put his secondary WBA title at 135 pounds at stake against Santa Cruz’s WBA junior lightweight belt, has endured consistent troubles in recent years on the scale regardless of which division he has competed in. In fact, Davis once lost his 130-pound title on the scales in 2017 ahead of his biggest fight to date as the co-main event on the Floyd Mayweather-Conor McGregor card. 

The 25-year-old Davis will be moving back down to junior lightweight when he steps foot inside the ring at the Alamodome (Showtime PPV, 9 p.m. ET) where a limited crowd of 11,500 is expected to show up while maintaining social distancing policies. Yet each time he has faced the media in recent weeks, Davis has made sure to make one thing clear. 

“Gervonta Davis will definitely make the weight,” Davis said. “This camp has been great for me. I’m already at weight. I’m not big and just have been working hard. Our camp is not worrying about weight, our camp is about Leo Santa Cruz and giving him a great fight. That’s what we worry about and getting them big checks.”

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Although Santa Cruz (37-1-1, 19 KOs) has had just one fight at junior lightweight — outpointing Miguel Flores last November to win the vacant title after previously doing his best work at featherweight — he was willing to take the risk of moving up one division higher against one of the sport’s biggest punchers because of a potential weakness he believes he can expose. 

“Tank Davis is strong the first five rounds. I know he’s also dangerous in every round, but I think the more dangerous rounds will be 1-6 where he will have the most power,” Santa Cruz said. “But if I see him gassing out, I am going to pressure him and make him tired.” 

When Santa Cruz, 32, first presented the idea of fighting Davis to his co-trainers, brother Antonio and father Jose, the family talked about his need to fight smart. Santa Cruz believes he will need “to fight a perfect fight” but hasn’t ruled out the potential of standing toe-to-toe against Davis and utilizing his pressure style. 

“We have to fight from the outside because we know Tank could hit and if he catches me, he could hurt me,” Santa Cruz said. “We are going to try to box 12 rounds, but you know me. We want to give the fans an exciting fight so…