Liberty vs Sun Predictions, Picks, and Odds

The Liberty are cooking now, and even the Connecticut Sun’s solid defense might not be able to stop them. Our WNBA betting picks expect New York to pick up a convincing road victory tonight.

The Top 2 teams in the East collide tonight as the New York Liberty and Connecticut Sun continue their rivalry in this potential Conference Finals preview.

Fresh off winning the Commissioner’s Cup Championship last week, the Liberty are riding high with a three-game lead over the Sun. New York took care of business against the Phoenix Mercury last Friday behind 22 points from Betnijah Laney and more hot shooting from Sabrina Ionescu.

With a 6-4 mark in their last 10 games, the Sun have lost ground in the race for the No. 1 seed in the Eastern Conference. But they’ve rallied with back-to-back victories, including a 68-64 rockfight against the Washington Mystics on Tuesday.

Check out our free Liberty vs. Sun WNBA picks and predictions for a closer look at Thursday night’s matchup.

Liberty vs Sun best odds

Liberty vs Sun picks and predictions

Anyone who thought the New York Liberty would cruise to top spot in the East failed to factor in this talented, relentless Connecticut Sun roster. But as we head towards the WNBA playoffs, New York’s star power is tough to bet against. 

This feels like a good spot for the visitors, who’ve had almost a week since their last game (Connecticut has played twice since then) and scored 85 points against the Mercury despite Breanna Stewart and Courtney Vandersloot combining for 5-of-19 shooting. 

The Liberty have also had the upper hand in the teams’ two previous meetings this season, with a blowout at Barclays Center followed by a tighter 89-81 victory at Mohegan Sun Arena in late June, with Stewart scoring a game-high 24 points.

As good as Connecticut’s defense has been in 2023, I’m riding with a New York team that’s firing on all cylinders and has the ability to pull away with an avalanche of jump shots. The Liberty did exactly that in Phoenix last time out, scoring 32 points in the third quarter.

The trends point to New York too. The Liberty are 7-1 in August and six of those wins have come by a double-digit margin. Ionescu, building off her 3-point shooting clinic at All-Star Weekend, has knocked down five or more triples in four of her last seven games to spearhead an efficient offense.

New York has covered the spread in each of its last four contests against Eastern Conference opponents, and I’m counting on the visitors to continue that streak tonight.

My best bet: Liberty -5.5 (-105 at Betway)