Indiana State at Evansville odds, picks and predictions

The Indiana State Sycamores (24-5, 15-3 Missouri Valley) and Evansville Purple Aces (15-14, 6-12) meet Wednesday at Ford Center in Evansville. Tip-off is scheduled for 8 p.m. ET (ESPN+). Below, we analyze FanDuel Sportsbook’s lines around the Indiana State vs. Evansville odds, and make our expert college basketball picks, predictions and best bets.

The Sycamores are coming off an 88-73 win against UIC, but they just missed the cover by a hook (a ½ point) as 15.5-point favorites. After a modest 2-game losing skid inside the MVC, Indiana State has won 2 in a row, while averaging 85.5 points per game (PPG) and allowing just 68.5 PPG.

Indiana State is still just 1-4 against the spread (ATS) in the past 5 games, while cashing the Under in 8 of the past 13 outings. On the road, the Sycamores have seen the total go low in 4 in a row, and 6 of the past 8 outings.

The Purple Aces are looking for revenge after an 87-73 loss against the Sycamores in Terre Haute Jan. 3. It was close, but Evansville covered as a 15-point underdog as the Over (158) just came through.

Evansville is in a 5-game nosedive, while failing to cover the past 3 outings after a 7-0 ATS run from Jan. 23 to Feb. 13. The Over has cashed in 4 of the past 5 outings.

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Indiana State at Evansville odds

Provided by FanDuel Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 3:51 a.m. ET.

• Moneyline (ML): Indiana State -550 (bet $550 to win $100) | Evansville +390 (bet $100 to win $390)
• Against the spread: Indiana State -9.5 (-110) | Evansville +9.5 (-110)
• Over/Under (O/U): 156.5 (O: -115 | U: -105)

Indiana State at Evansville picks and predictions

Prediction

Indiana State 89, Evansville 71

Moneyline

Indiana State (-550) will cost 5½ times the potential return. That’s way too much risk for not nearly enough reward. While the Sycamores have won 5 straight in the series, and 9 out of the past 10, you just cannot risk this much for such a small profit.

AVOID and look to the spread instead.

Against the spread

INDIANA STATE -9.5 (-110) needs to win this one by double digits. That’s always a tall order on the road. However, the last time the Sycamores visited Evansville, they won by 18 points Feb. 1, 2023. The Sycamores won the 1st meeting by 14 points, I-State has won the previous 4 outings by an average of 24.8 points per game (PPG).

After a solid start to the season, the Purple Aces are skidding hard at the most inopportune time of the schedule. They’ve dropped 5 in a row, and failed to cover the past 3 outings.

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Over/Under

OVER 156.5 (-115) is the lean in this MVC battle on the banks of the Ohio River.

The Over has cashed in 4 of the past 5 games for the Purple Aces, and the total went high in the 1st meeting between these teams, too.

For…